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Time To Jump Into Techs?

Author: Moby Waller (info)
Website: http://bigtrends.com
Posted: June 5th, 2008 at 8:03 am EST
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Time To Jump Into Techs?
June 4, 2008

  We have mentioned several times in recent weeks that the NASDAQ 100 Index (QQQQ) has been outperforming the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average.  The enthusiasm for this move was tempered somewhat though by the top heavy nature of the QQQQ rally, which seemed to primarily driven by Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL).However, we are now seeing other technology indices and stocks that look to be outperforming the broad market and perhaps poised to break out to the upside.  The CBOE Internet Index ($INX), Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ($SOX), and AMEX Disk Drive Index ($DDX) are just a few that have had strong price performance lately on their charts.
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Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, Daily w/ 20 & 40 day Moving Averages

Here are the weighted holdings of the SOX:

Altera Corp.                              ALTR   5.97%
Applied Materials, Inc.              AMAT   4.94%
Advanced Micro Devices            AMD  1.78%
Broadcom Corporation            BRCM   7.18%
Infineon Technologies AG            IFX   2.44%
Intel Corp.                                  INTC   5.99%
KLA-Tencor Corp.                    KLAC   11.63%
Linear Technology Corp.          LLTC   9.39%
Marvell Technology Group       MRVL   4.51%
Micron Technology, Inc.               MU    2.13%
National Semiconductor             NSM    5.62%
Novellus Systems, Inc.              NVLS    5.98%
SanDisk Corporation                SNDK    7.53%
STMicroelectronics NV               STM    3.30%
Teradyne, Inc.                            TER    3.40%
Taiwan Semiconductor               TSM    2.96%
Texas Instruments, Inc.                TXN   8.24%
Xilinx, Inc.                                    XLNX  7.02%

Also, some “older” technology names are popping up as upside breakouts on our screens, such as Verisign (VRSN), Checkpoint (CHKP), Xilinx (XLNX), and Altera (ALTR).

Verisign, Daily w/ 20 & 40 day Moving Averages

Checkpoint, Daily w/ 20 & 40 day Moving Averages

As is always the case with the market, there are sectors and individual stocks that will make you money on the positive side.  Despite a lot of fundamental negatives and fears hanging over the US Economy and stock market, technology looks like a good place to be currently.  This may in fact augur well for the medium-term outlook of the broad market, as tech stocks are traditionally a leading indicator.

Moby Waller

Research Analyst

Advanced Options Strategies, Portfolio Manager

BigTrends.com

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    One Response to “Time To Jump Into Techs?”

  1. mike clark Says:

    The bottom is never to materialize, commodities and the futures is where the NEW MARKET is. Who is kidding who anymore. Goldman Sachs is done , they are no longer credible in the financials along with all the brokerage houses.The Futures is the new game in town & will remain for the next 20 years.Why is Buffet no longer investing in US companies, he is in Germany,China,Brazil & Russia the new emerging markets. The US Dollar means nothing anymore & will remain that way because the FED can’t fix anything. Rhetoric is finished like the US Dollar. Commodities is it Stocks are out.

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